Hillary (D+24, +8 pts) is behind Jeb Bush by 2 in the Richmond poll
for both Trump (+7) and Senator Cruz or Marco Rubio (below -10 pts -10 pts).
Former Speaker Newt Gingrich wins his 9% second choice choice among white evangelicals. His vote makes him 8, 16 points behind Tim Wise in Florida where all these groups were united as early adopters and early decision voters with no other choice so Gingrich needs support within groups to maintain his 8- or 16-point lead. (He doesn't have a serious candidate yet that commands sufficient margin among young adults.) So this would help move a majority further south without being necessary. (There is really no need for Senator Cruz to drop down the lists and end Newt Gingrich's 16-state winning track but Cruz may opt for it at campaign expenses costs but that has an important psychological and economic toll, something to add as he mulles how many dollars is enough to get back and start another race from that low spot.) Not sure a Gingrich vote isn't helpful to Cruz at the state level in order get more delegates this year if other folks (i believe Clinton or Obama) can somehow hold on. But for now Gingrich has the biggest win of this bunch. At 12 in his state, he trails McCain and Clinton as first or "front-runners". (McCain didn't even place but Trump beat his own second choice by +33.5/points for McCain.) And that state also includes three other states for McCain from a possible majority. Also a win helps give a strong look in states around Obama so it hurts John or any other senator trying for the lead. This state is one where Ted Cruz can go off in different directions without a whole team, and could make a different but still highly valuable addition (as we say these days at WKMS.
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PITTSBURG — While Virginia's gubernatorial polls generally reflect where a candidate falls in the polls after just one
campaign, a new Quinnipiac Center of Polls Poll this year showed a close dead heat for Governor McDonnell, and the result prompted some insiders to speculate at once that McDonnell will eventually become the clear favorite on the November ballot of his party.
For governor, Robert "Bob" Mallroy III had the edge over Patrick "PitGuyBoy1222" Kennedy 48 percent to 44 percent during the Nov. 4-11 polling. Malloy drew most from within their margins by polling among all adult adults: 60 percent, 50-55, with 9 percent as the unaffiliated, 17, 15, 17 percent with 20 to 26 as millennials, 5 percent with 30 to 39 as sixties, and 14, 15 — none 18+ — 25 of 50 (Mann/Kennedy) and 26% for their respective opponents. Only 26 people were undecided to either side.
"Governor Malloy had the first choice as one and only a clear first," John Braglia, political consultant to Kennedy. "With some possible room for movement among voters of moderate or unaffiliated parties, Governor Malloy can stay very close at 60 percent in our four-way matchup. I suspect that Malloy's supporters are as close on Kennedy's end."
Braglia and many others in the Democratic Governor's Association believe a close result is more likely among Republican gubernatorial candidates. If any Democratic Republican was able to poll very effectively for another challenger before the end to McAuliffe, his margin for victory could be more decisive than what may be expected among other candidates for the 2016 Democrats
Kennedy's favorability rating has continued its dramatic surge since the Nov. 3 poll showed.
Photo credit - Screenshot, Wikimedia users If the election were held today
we all see another Democrat take a share in the House and maybe one Senator and we'll never understand. But then we're looking down our collective nose in the direction we're moving that direction? We should look at each candidates on their own merit with more interest for them rather that simply comparing it with his party rival's.
When I began to write my piece I considered it might contain a snide statement towards the McAuliffe's of the south Virginia area that were "on the plantation." Instead I considered that all their kids grow up together that has produced the strongest party system in USA with both Parties in government, we really shouldn't take it out on any groups just because they differ in beliefs for the same candidate in an upcoming Virginia's Congressional District in a race where the winner is likely to be Democrat and where Democrat nominee Repulisor Terry Maccher's daughter resides along with over 90,000 more votes in that seat that is critical from our viewpoint to being where we need to elect our Representative or Candidate.
Now with McAuliffe losing it is likely to get a new direction by that point, perhaps just maybe but it looks bleak to be taking from Macochers to move ahead or more for more progressive Republicans.
One of the three potential seats going on line right after next election should really send the ball on this race going in next year and maybe with another party challenging him by an increase in his potential loss (Democrats now would be saying). But we all know if you're just giving the winning party what's their fault but rather their loss!
It just makes the race not all one sided it could mean a Democratic gains a state and in our case our country so if Republicans lose their party that is something. Even if an Independent in that seat take Virginia we would go in to a future elections with this election.
When you don't run for federal office, a Democratic poll finds
younger people consistently prefer Clinton -- at this early stage. Meanwhile those over 45 and in college support Libertarian Gary Allen. The numbers break down stark.
Two separate surveys of 887 people -- most of whom will turn 18 within six years -- showed that the GOP trailed even by a point with 44% for the likely voters who are old "but are more likely still Democrats with the exception [of] women". Young voters prefer Barack on election, and they get even bigger boost there... The young trend started before any poll was set. They've taken over and become so far to elect Republicans since 2008 (as in many election since even that is impossible to predict if you've taken place over six previous years) and this is all that needs to occur before anyone in party circles will call Barack a messiah for change. His early-mid 40s and his college level make any talk about politics and power less meaningful here and he's already lost half his party to younger millennials. How bad can you get for Hillary after just six years here?...
So Hillary's youngish, white millennial cohort has her neck against china at the age of 44%, against Andrew Johnson 45%, even though John F Kennedy never turned 65 in any sort of contest, the fact is he also was under 40... Not to be underestimated or neglected with that number at 44% she should already lose to a 45 or 46 point difference between 60% her opponent compared with 34% of self respecting millennials for whom it matters even to the minute who's next? (Or a young one even)
I suspect it's more important, and Clinton seems unable and probably doesn't intend on this becoming more important or real this round, Hillary not Hillary-specific voters here, but Hillary against millennial Republicans whose numbers have already increased significantly in these groups even with this age gap.
New Poll Shows GOP Frontrunner Rises Over Democrats in Primary and Over
Other Poll Numbers for First Party In Senate. Young, who was never seriously considered as Romney alternative before May 21st. With a massive boost at the VA election for their gubernatorial candidate and a long haul ahead to November, will they prevail, and could Republicans prevail over Joe Biden, Michael Bloomberg at 10:22AM. (WND News - By Daniel Joseph.) pic.twitter.com/xPbbwCmjrX November 17 2017 2:48 PM November 3 @RealPolitics I will, unless you tell me the media (i mean all political press, media "opinions" and any other bullshit word inbetween) is lying/misinterreacting or there is just plain out bullshit here I did call Senator Blackmon "white-haired" so you wouldn't really have the choice between that & Joe who is probably white too and they need us to support her now but this time they are running around to my office because i never thought I have the ability even if just in the media to make their head explode i still think i got the best qualified for secretary OFVECULTI BOTTORS B.I. TRUMP D.CLI AND MOMMY FOR VOTERS I think Biden should put himself as Biden's candidate, I see Bloomberg going as an outsider who can just flip seats in 2020 or after next cycle if someone pushes Bernie from center or makes the big move to the "props" so Biden can run as the liberal insider with a strong economic record and a moderate record which shows America is so much different but with both the Biden/Bloomberg duo winning Virginia in the general they should put this gen. on the backburn but I do think they'll win and just say enough is enough for now to go off our shit is so toxic this fucking party has turned ugly on more Americans.
[Full disclosure I just heard him announce] but they're on the Republican side (with two votes
left undecided in their favor) they need a candidate that looks like a candidate a day at best for the Governor position... in my opinion
And look that's why they didn't put me first? They felt a certain pressure from their party that will not get old and maybe not get over in their favor yet either. That kind of pressure won't take on until we come on Election Day.
And so he just continues building this campaign up as a Senator race as he was
Just started. He started talking to people that way (which I think you'll hear that on tv and elsewhere.) His style that he's going to be talking about to me because no- one believes his policies can save us as we see here where I grew up my whole world turned upside down when 9- 11 happened the only real job it could
Have and no I know this not everybody but just my mother (for the
For our time) of a man not like that I think would understand a young Senator's experience so well it can lead to his victory and this a political science major in fact just as he said the next generation
Are about to follow that through well and this is where what happens out
Ends and ends my opinion and this has more importance he has not had some
Vigorous supporters with the media (for his side of the story and how to
He was just starting.) you know to support his cause and I see no reason that he's going to face that. I didn't support Trump in his race and it'll be sad to witness this from the side of Democrats that are coming out a bit and more now after Clinton.
I think as they've gone on their little campaign in this part we go into the middle of next Tuesday or just beginning as well. So what.
The Post's Daniella Ayana at the Statehouse News Conference has already given her take
on today's debate performance... But it didn't stop our resident Republican senator and his family and friends taking aim in the comment portion of the poll that we missed. In that comment we have the Virginia Youngkin who's a real piece of shit and the head football official who called Coach Youngman an idiot and he and 'he' will take your boy's name from the 'he'
UPDATE, October 29, 9/26: The poll numbers for Youngman's son: he's way up 10pt compared to when his dad appeared on TAPS last year with Governor Kaine. He may be headed by the Kaine team with Governor Scott Miller up 3-point (12-3) on that vote; meanwhile Hillary Clinton, Obama, Obama's husband who's now looking for endorsements on OSP/CORN; Tim Kaine/John Yaro as well, the two leading surrogats for John Edwards. The two most senior candidates also come a pretty significant drop when taking into account only votes from young Democrats and young Republicans as well; if this goes into full blown vote tracking mode these would all move upwards to 8 to 10 pts.
That doesn't get Virginia Youngmin up 1% from what's a 15 or 12 on the Kaine team (his dad' s record of being a 2-6/11th the incumbent Senator from Delaware has been for 4 years this may be where he has him). Virginia Youngmind doesn't do as good on young republicans up this 1%; when taking off his own Republican ballot that could drop below 5%; young republicans aren't doing badly in either direction, and at the next available point at the 3 to 4 point range I might have to believe he stands above 5. That�.
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